Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.568533 0.645477 0.727606 0.821636 0.926154 1.038599 1.168562
2025-09-07 0.450192 0.556561 0.678515 0.828020 1.005652 1.209219 1.459381
2025-09-14 0.353365 0.473708 0.621281 0.813978 1.057186 1.352034 1.734389
2025-09-21 0.289502 0.418762 0.587489 0.820881 1.131882 1.528149 2.066691
2025-09-28 0.232625 0.362296 0.542040 0.804617 1.172658 1.663540 2.359664
2025-10-05 0.202482 0.337107 0.534015 0.835833 1.277882 1.891053 2.792559
2025-10-12 0.177904 0.315482 0.527094 0.866199 1.383198 2.126184 3.254398
2025-10-19 0.152353 0.287591 0.506135 0.871766 1.451049 2.311961 3.659503
2025-10-26 0.130772 0.262269 0.485089 0.873437 1.511313 2.489344 4.063613
2025-11-02 0.112802 0.239922 0.465381 0.873908 1.568089 2.663857 4.473853
2025-11-09 0.097805 0.220263 0.447224 0.874008 1.622833 2.837482 4.892675
2025-11-16 0.085717 0.203993 0.432628 0.877931 1.683095 3.022646 5.340126
2025-11-23 0.073702 0.185852 0.412351 0.869732 1.722489 3.178070 5.753208
2025-11-30 0.065831 0.175117 0.404863 0.884254 1.803009 3.407512 6.302913
2025-12-07 0.056744 0.159830 0.385956 0.874319 1.837512 3.559866 6.731893
2025-12-14 0.050664 0.150429 0.377944 0.884857 1.910714 3.784196 7.297418
2025-12-21 0.043474 0.136728 0.358527 0.869490 1.932243 3.916791 7.709559
2025-12-28 0.040601 0.133711 0.362684 0.904219 2.054903 4.241099 8.480914
2026-01-04 0.037894 0.130594 0.366137 0.937620 2.177268 4.571900 9.281496
2026-01-11 0.033951 0.123103 0.357996 0.944146 2.244639 4.802552 9.910216
2026-01-18 0.030262 0.115517 0.348473 0.946296 2.302630 5.018152 10.521728
2026-01-25 0.026954 0.108328 0.338867 0.947029 2.357287 5.229958 11.136480
2026-02-01 0.024022 0.101639 0.329548 0.947283 2.410586 5.441690 11.761317